Breadth Chart Analyst
by @veeramanikandanr48
This skill should be used when analyzing market breadth charts, specifically the S&P 500 Breadth Index (200-Day MA based) and the US Stock Market Uptrend Stock Ratio charts. Use this skill when the user provides breadth chart images for analysis, requests market breadth assessment, positioning strategy recommendations, or wants to understand medium-term strategic and short-term tactical market outlook based on breadth indicators. All analysis and output are conducted in English.
clawhub install breadth-chart-analystπ About This Skill
name: breadth-chart-analyst description: This skill should be used when analyzing market breadth charts, specifically the S&P 500 Breadth Index (200-Day MA based) and the US Stock Market Uptrend Stock Ratio charts. Use this skill when the user provides breadth chart images for analysis, requests market breadth assessment, positioning strategy recommendations, or wants to understand medium-term strategic and short-term tactical market outlook based on breadth indicators. All analysis and output are conducted in English.
Breadth Chart Analyst
Overview
This skill enables specialized analysis of two complementary market breadth charts that provide strategic (medium to long-term) and tactical (short-term) market perspectives. Analyze breadth chart images to assess market health, identify trading signals based on backtested strategies, and develop positioning recommendations. All thinking and output are conducted exclusively in English.
Core Principles
1. Dual-Timeframe Analysis: Combine strategic (Chart 1: 200MA Breadth) and tactical (Chart 2: Uptrend Ratio) perspectives 2. Backtested Strategy Focus: Apply proven systematic strategies based on historical patterns 3. Objective Signal Identification: Focus on clearly defined thresholds, transitions, and markers 4. English Communication: Conduct all analysis and generate all reports in English 5. Actionable Recommendations: Provide specific positioning guidance for different investor types
Chart Types and Purposes
Chart 1: S&P 500 Breadth Index (200-Day MA Based)
Purpose: Medium to long-term strategic market positioning
Key Elements:
Backtested Strategy:
Chart 2: US Stock Market - Uptrend Stock Ratio
Purpose: Short-term tactical timing and swing trading
Key Elements:
Swing Trading Strategy:
Analysis Workflow
Step 1: Receive Chart Images and Prepare Analysis
When the user provides breadth chart images for analysis:
1. Confirm receipt of chart image(s) 2. Identify which chart(s) are provided: - Chart 1 only (200MA Breadth) - Chart 2 only (Uptrend Ratio) - Both charts 3. Note any specific focus areas or questions from the user 4. Proceed with systematic analysis
Language Note: All subsequent thinking, analysis, and output will be in English.
Step 2: Load Breadth Chart Methodology
Before beginning analysis, read the comprehensive breadth chart methodology:
Read: references/breadth_chart_methodology.md
This reference contains detailed guidance on:
Step 3: Examine Sample Charts (First Time or for Reference)
To understand the chart format and visual elements, review the sample charts included in this skill:
View: assets/SP500_Breadth_Index_200MA_8MA.jpeg
View: assets/US_Stock_Market_Uptrend_Ratio.jpeg
These samples demonstrate:
Step 4: Analyze Chart 1 (200MA-Based Breadth Index)
If Chart 1 is provided, conduct systematic analysis:
#### 4.1 Extract Current Readings
From the chart image, identify:
#### 4.1.5 CRITICAL: Latest Data Point Detailed Trend Analysis
This step is MANDATORY to avoid misreading recent trend changes.
CRITICAL WARNING: Charts can be deceptive. The MAJORITY of analysis errors occur because the analyst: 1. Confuses the 8MA (orange) with the 200MA (green) 2. Reads historical trends instead of the CURRENT rightmost data points 3. Misidentifies which line is rising vs falling
BEFORE analyzing trend direction, FIRST confirm line colors:
Focus intensively on the rightmost 3-5 data points of the chart (most recent weeks):
For 8MA (Orange Line) - Analyze the very latest trajectory: 1. Identify the absolute latest position: Where is the 8MA at the rightmost edge of the chart? 2. Trace back 3-5 data points (approximately 3-5 weeks): - What was the 8MA level 1 week ago? - What was the 8MA level 2 weeks ago? - What was the 8MA level 3 weeks ago? 3. Calculate the directional change: - Is the latest value HIGHER or LOWER than 1 week ago? - Is the latest value HIGHER or LOWER than 2 weeks ago? - What is the trend: consistently rising, consistently falling, or mixed? 4. Determine the CURRENT slope (not historical slope): - Rising: Latest data point is higher than previous 2-3 points AND shows upward curvature - Falling: Latest data point is lower than previous 2-3 points AND shows downward curvature - Flat: Latest data point is approximately equal to previous points (within 2-3%)
Critical Questions to Answer:
For 200MA (Green Line) - Analyze the very latest trajectory: 1. Identify the absolute latest position: Where is the 200MA at the rightmost edge? 2. Trace back 4-6 weeks: - What was the 200MA level 2 weeks ago? - What was the 200MA level 4 weeks ago? 3. Determine the CURRENT slope: - Is it rising, falling, or flat in the most recent period?
Failed Reversal Detection (CRITICAL): If an 8MA trough (purple βΌ) was recently identified:
Example Analysis Format:
Latest 8MA Data Points (rightmost to left):
Current (Week 0): 48%
1 week ago: 52%
2 weeks ago: 55%
3 weeks ago: 50% Analysis: 8MA is FALLING. It rose from 50% to 55% (weeks 3-2), but has since declined to 48%.
This shows a failed reversal pattern - bounce was temporary, downtrend has resumed.
SLOPE: Falling (not rising!)
MANDATORY CROSS-CHECK (to catch misreadings): After determining the trend, ask yourself:
#### 4.2 Identify Signal Markers
Look for and document:
#### 4.3 Assess Market Regime
Based on readings and patterns, classify the current market as:
Support the classification with specific evidence from the chart.
#### 4.4 Determine Strategy Position
Apply the backtested strategy rules with STRICT confirmation requirements:
Check for BUY signal (ALL criteria must be met): 1. β Trough Formation: Has 8MA formed a clear trough (purple βΌ)? 2. β Reversal Initiated: Has 8MA begun to move upward from the trough? 3. β Confirmation Achieved: Has 8MA risen for 2-3 CONSECUTIVE periods after the trough? 4. β No Recent Reversal: Based on Step 4.1.5 analysis, is 8MA CURRENTLY rising (not falling)? 5. β Sustained Move: Has 8MA maintained the upward trajectory without rolling over? 6. β Optional but Strong: Is 8MA below or near 23% (extreme oversold) at trough?
BUY Signal Status:
Check for SELL signal:
Current position determination:
#### 4.5 Develop Scenarios
Create 2-3 scenarios with probability estimates:
Step 5: Analyze Chart 2 (Uptrend Stock Ratio)
If Chart 2 is provided, conduct systematic analysis:
#### 5.1 Extract Current Readings
From the chart image, identify:
#### 5.2 Identify Trend Transitions
Look for and document:
#### 5.3 Assess Market Condition
Based on current ratio and color, classify as:
Support the classification with specific evidence from the chart.
#### 5.4 Determine Trading Position
Apply the swing trading strategy rules:
Check for ENTER LONG signal:
Check for EXIT LONG signal:
Current position: Long, Flat, Preparing to Enter, or Preparing to Exit
#### 5.5 Develop Scenarios
Create 2-3 scenarios with probability estimates:
Step 6: Combined Analysis (When Both Charts Provided)
If both charts are provided, integrate the strategic and tactical perspectives:
#### 6.1 Alignment Assessment
Create a positioning matrix:
#### 6.2 Scenario Classification
Determine which of the four scenarios applies:
Scenario 1: Both Bullish
Scenario 2: Strategic Bullish, Tactical Bearish
Scenario 3: Strategic Bearish, Tactical Bullish
Scenario 4: Both Bearish
#### 6.3 Unified Recommendation
Provide integrated positioning guidance for:
Address any conflicts between charts and explain resolution.
Step 7: Generate Analysis Report in English
Create a comprehensive markdown report using the template structure:
Read and use as template: assets/breadth_analysis_template.md
IMPORTANT: All analysis and output must be in English.
The report structure varies based on which chart(s) are analyzed:
If Chart 1 only:
If Chart 2 only:
If Both Charts:
File Naming Convention: Save each analysis as:
breadth_200ma_analysis_[YYYY-MM-DD].mduptrend_ratio_analysis_[YYYY-MM-DD].mdbreadth_combined_analysis_[YYYY-MM-DD].mdStep 8: Quality Assurance
Before finalizing the report, verify:
1. β Language: All content is in English (thinking and output) 2. β Line Color Verification: Explicitly confirmed 8MA = ORANGE, 200MA = GREEN before trend analysis 3. β Latest Data Trend Analysis: Step 4.1.5 was thoroughly completed - the most recent 3-5 data points were analyzed to determine CURRENT trend direction 4. β Trend Direction Accuracy: The stated 8MA slope (Rising/Falling/Flat) accurately reflects the RIGHTMOST data points, not historical movement 5. β Cross-Check Completed: MANDATORY CROSS-CHECK questions were answered to confirm trend direction matches visual slope 6. β Death/Golden Cross Check: If 8MA and 200MA are converging, explicitly identified whether death cross or golden cross is forming 7. β Failed Reversal Check: If a trough was identified, explicitly verified whether the reversal sustained or failed by analyzing latest trajectory 8. β Specific Values: All readings include specific percentages/levels, not vague descriptions 9. β Signal Status: Clear identification of active signals (CONFIRMED BUY / DEVELOPING / FAILED / SELL / WAIT) 10. β Strategy Alignment: Recommendations align with backtested strategies and confirmation requirements 11. β Probabilities: Scenario probabilities sum to 100% 12. β Actionable: Clear positioning recommendations for different trader types 13. β Context: Historical comparison and reference to similar past situations 14. β Risk Management: Invalidation levels and risk factors clearly stated
FINAL SANITY CHECK:
Quality Standards
Objectivity Requirements
Completeness Requirements
Clarity Requirements
Strategy Adherence Requirements
Example Usage Scenarios
Example 1: Strategic Breadth Analysis (Chart 1 Only)
User: "Please analyze this S&P 500 breadth chart and tell me where we are in the market cycle."
[Provides Chart 1 image: 200MA Breadth Index]Breadth Analyst (thinking in English):
1. Confirms receipt of Chart 1 (200MA-based breadth index)
2. Reads breadth_chart_methodology.md for Chart 1 guidance
3. Views sample chart for format reference
4. Extracts current readings:
- 8MA: 68%
- 200MA: 75%
- 8MA slope: Flat to slightly declining
- 200MA slope: Rising but may be forming peak
- Distance from 73% threshold: +2% (above threshold = overheated)
5. Identifies signals:
- Most recent 8MA trough: 3 months ago at 25%
- Most recent 200MA peak: None visible yet, but 200MA at 75% suggests potential peak forming
6. Assesses regime: Overheated Bull Market approaching Distribution Phase
7. Determines strategy position: Long position should prepare to exit; watch for 200MA peak confirmation
8. Develops scenarios:
- Base Case (55%): 200MA forms peak in next 1-2 weeks, sell signal activates
- Alternative (35%): Further consolidation at elevated levels before eventual peak
- Bear Case (10%): Immediate rollover without clear peak formation
9. Generates comprehensive report in English: breadth_200ma_analysis_2025-11-02.md
Example 2: Tactical Uptrend Ratio Analysis (Chart 2 Only)
User: "Should I be buying or selling here? Analyze this uptrend ratio chart."
[Provides Chart 2 image: Uptrend Stock Ratio]Breadth Analyst (thinking in English):
1. Confirms receipt of Chart 2 (Uptrend stock ratio)
2. Reads breadth_chart_methodology.md for Chart 2 guidance
3. Views sample chart for format reference
4. Extracts current readings:
- Current ratio: 12%
- Current color: Green (uptrend)
- Ratio slope: Rising sharply
- Just transitioned from red to green 3 days ago at 11%
5. Identifies transitions:
- Most recent red-to-green: 3 days ago at 11% (from extreme oversold)
- Prior green-to-red: 2 weeks ago at 28%
6. Assesses condition: Early in new uptrend from extreme oversold
7. Determines trading position: ENTER LONG signal active, excellent risk/reward
8. Develops scenarios:
- Base Case (65%): Ratio continues higher to 30-35% over next 2-3 weeks
- Alternative (25%): Choppy advance, consolidates around 20% before next leg
- Bear Case (10%): False breakout, returns to red quickly
9. Generates tactical report in English: uptrend_ratio_analysis_2025-11-02.md
Example 3: Combined Strategic + Tactical Analysis (Both Charts)
User: "Analyze both of these breadth charts and give me your overall market view."
[Provides both Chart 1 and Chart 2 images]Breadth Analyst (thinking in English):
1. Confirms receipt of both charts
2. Reads full breadth_chart_methodology.md
3. Views both sample charts
4. Analyzes Chart 1:
- 8MA: 55%, rising from trough 2 weeks ago at 30%
- 200MA: 60%, still rising
- Regime: Early Recovery to Healthy Bull Market
- Strategy: Long position, hold
5. Analyzes Chart 2:
- Ratio: 22%, green (uptrend)
- Transitioned red-to-green 10 days ago from 14%
- Condition: Moderate Bullish, building momentum
- Trading: Hold long, entered on transition
6. Combined assessment:
- Scenario 1: Both Bullish β
- Strategic: Bullish (8MA reversal confirmed)
- Tactical: Bullish (uptrend established from oversold)
- Alignment: Strong alignment = Maximum conviction
7. Unified recommendation:
- Long-term investors: Aggressive long positioning, core holdings
- Swing traders: Hold longs entered on red-to-green, target 35%+
- Active traders: Full position, favorable environment for longs
8. Develops integrated scenarios with probabilities
9. Generates comprehensive combined report in English: breadth_combined_analysis_2025-11-02.md
Common Analysis Errors and How to Avoid Them
Error 1: Confusing 8MA with 200MA
Symptom: Report claims 8MA is rising when it's actually the 200MA that's rising
Prevention:
Error 2: Reading Historical Trends Instead of Current Direction
Symptom: Report describes what happened 1-2 months ago, not what's happening NOW
Prevention:
Error 3: Missing Death Cross or Golden Cross Formation
Symptom: Report is bullish when 8MA and 200MA are about to death cross (bearish)
Prevention:
Error 4: Ignoring Pink Background Shading
Symptom: Report claims bullish setup when chart shows pink downtrend background
Prevention:
Error 5: Claiming Reversal Too Early
Symptom: Report says "BUY signal confirmed" after only 1 week of increase
Prevention:
Resources
This skill includes the following bundled resources:
references/breadth_chart_methodology.md
Comprehensive methodology covering:
Usage: Read this file before conducting any breadth chart analysis to ensure systematic, accurate interpretation.
assets/breadth_analysis_template.md
Structured template for breadth analysis reports in English:
Usage: Use this template structure for every analysis report. Adapt sections based on which chart(s) are being analyzed.
assets/SP500_Breadth_Index_200MA_8MA.jpeg
Sample Chart 1 image showing:
Usage: Reference this sample to understand Chart 1 visual format and identify similar patterns in user-provided charts.
assets/US_Stock_Market_Uptrend_Ratio.jpeg
Sample Chart 2 image showing:
Usage: Reference this sample to understand Chart 2 visual format and identify similar patterns in user-provided charts.
Special Notes
Language Requirement
CRITICAL: All analysis, thinking, and output MUST be in English. This includes:
Do not translate or use any other language. The user expects English output exclusively.
Strategy Focus
This skill emphasizes backtested, systematic strategies rather than discretionary interpretation. Always:
Practical Application
The goal is actionable intelligence. Every analysis should answer: