🎁 Get the FREE AI Skills Starter Guide β€” Subscribe β†’
BytesAgainBytesAgain
πŸ¦€ ClawHub

earnings-analyst

by @finskills

Research upcoming earnings events, analyze historical beat/miss patterns, and estimate post-earnings price reactions using the Finskills API.

TERMINAL
clawhub install earnings-analyst

πŸ“– About This Skill


name: Earnings Analyst version: 1.0.2 description: "Research upcoming earnings events, analyze historical beat/miss patterns, and estimate post-earnings price reactions using the Finskills API." author: finskills metadata: openclaw: requires: env: - FINSKILLS_API_KEY primaryEnv: FINSKILLS_API_KEY homepage: https://github.com/finskills/earnings-analyst

Earnings Analyst

Track upcoming earnings events, analyze EPS beat/miss history, assess options- implied earnings move expectations, and monitor analyst estimate revisions β€” all powered by the Finskills API earnings calendar and company earnings endpoints.


Setup

API Key required β€” Register at https://finskills.net to get your free key. Header: X-API-Key: > Get your API key: Register at https://finskills.net β€” free tier available, Pro plan unlocks real-time quotes, history, and financials.


When to Activate This Skill

Activate when the user:

  • Asks when a specific company reports earnings
  • Wants to know historical earnings beat/miss rate for a stock
  • Asks about analyst EPS/revenue estimates for an upcoming quarter
  • Wants to understand the "earnings move" priced into options
  • Asks which major companies are reporting this week
  • Wants pre-earnings research before a binary event

  • Use Cases

    Mode A β€” Market Earnings Calendar

    "What major companies are reporting earnings this week?"

    Mode B β€” Per-Stock Earnings Deep Dive

    "Analyze NVDA's upcoming earnings β€” what should I expect?"

    Mode C β€” Pre-Earnings Trade Setup

    "Set up a pre-earnings analysis for AAPL with options context"


    Data Retrieval β€” Finskills API Calls

    Mode A β€” Earnings Calendar

    GET https://finskills.net/v1/free/market/earnings-calendar
    
    (Optional query params: from=YYYY-MM-DD&to=YYYY-MM-DD) Extract: company name, ticker, report date, timing (before market / after market), EPS estimate

    Filter and group by day. Sort by market cap or analyst attention.

    Mode B β€” Per-Stock Earnings Analysis

    Earnings History & Next Quarter Estimate:

    GET https://finskills.net/v1/stocks/earnings/{SYMBOL}
    
    Extract:
  • Last 4–8 quarters: date, epsActual, epsEstimate, epsSurprise, epsSurprisePercent
  • Last 4–8 quarters: revenueActual, revenueEstimate, revenueSurprise
  • Next quarter: epsEstimate, revenueEstimate
  • Next report date, timing (AMC/BMO)
  • Analyst Estimates (revision trend):

    GET https://finskills.net/v1/free/stocks/estimates/{SYMBOL}
    
    Extract: current quarter EPS estimate, next quarter, current year, next year consensus Note upward vs. downward revision trend (compare to 30-day-ago estimates if available)

    Latest News (pre-earnings catalyst check):

    GET https://finskills.net/v1/news/by-symbol/{SYMBOL}
    
    Extract: recent headlines, sentiment signals, any pre-announcements or guidance updates

    Options Chain (for implied move):

    GET https://finskills.net/v1/stocks/options/{SYMBOL}
    
    Extract near-term ATM straddle price to calculate implied earnings move.


    Analysis Workflow

    Step 1 β€” Earnings Calendar View (Mode A)

    Group events by day (Mon–Fri this week):

  • Show pre-market (BMO) and after-close (AMC) separately
  • Flag mega-caps (market cap > $100B) with β˜…
  • Include consensus EPS estimate for context
  • Highlight sector clusters (earnings tend to move entire sectors)
  • Step 2 β€” Earnings History Analysis (Mode B)

    Build a beat/miss scorecard:

    | Quarter | EPS Est | EPS Actual | Surprise | Rev Est | Rev Actual | Rev Surprise | |---------|---------|-----------|----------|---------|-----------|--------------| | Q1 2025 | $X.XX | $X.XX | +X% | $XB | $XB | +X% | | ... | | | | | | |

    Compute:

  • EPS Beat Rate: % of quarters beating EPS estimate
  • Avg EPS Surprise: Mean % beat magnitude (positive = bullish quality)
  • Revenue Beat Rate: % of quarters beating revenue estimate
  • Consistency Score: 5/5 beats vs 3/5 vs 2/5 β€” flag inconsistency
  • Trend: Is beat magnitude growing or shrinking? (quality signal)
  • Step 3 β€” Estimate Revision Momentum

    Classify revision trend:

  • Positive momentum: Estimates revised UP in last 30–90 days β†’ analyst conviction rising
  • Negative momentum: Estimates revised DOWN β†’ potential guidance cut risk
  • Stable: No significant revisions
  • This is a leading indicator β€” stocks with positive estimate revisions tend to outperform.

    Step 4 β€” Implied Earnings Move (if options data available)

    Calculate using ATM straddle at nearest expiration AFTER earnings date:

    ATM Straddle Price = ATM Call Mid + ATM Put Mid
    Implied Move %     = Straddle Price / Current Stock Price Γ— 100
    Expected Range     = [Current Price Γ— (1 βˆ’ implied_move%), Current Price Γ— (1 + implied_move%)]
    

    Compare to historical earnings moves (from earnings history β€” abs value of price change on earnings day):

  • If implied move > average historical move: options are pricing in extra uncertainty β†’ consider neutral strategies
  • If implied move < average historical move: options may be cheap for directional play
  • Step 5 β€” Pre-Earnings Assessment

    Summarize the opportunity:

    Bull Case (if expecting beat):

  • Revenue acceleration + margin expansion signals?
  • Positive estimate revisions?
  • Strong sector tailwinds?
  • Bear Case (if expecting miss or disappointment):

  • Slowing beat magnitude trend?
  • Recent negative estimate revisions?
  • Macro headwinds for the sector?
  • Key Watch Items:

  • Management guidance language (forward-looking statements)
  • Segment breakdowns to watch (e.g., Cloud for MSFT, iPhone for AAPL)
  • Margin trajectory (gross margin, operating margin vs estimates)

  • Output Format β€” Mode A (Calendar)

    πŸ“… EARNINGS CALENDAR  β€”  Week of {DATE}

    MONDAY {Date} ⭐ {CompanyName} ({TICKER}) β€” AMC | EPS Est: ${est} {CompanyName} ({TICKER}) β€” BMO | EPS Est: ${est}

    TUESDAY {Date} ⭐ {CompanyName} ({TICKER}) β€” BMO | EPS Est: ${est} ...

    [⚠️ Sector note: {sector} reports in concentration β€” expect spillover moves]


    Output Format β€” Mode B (Per-Stock Deep Dive)

    ╔══════════════════════════════════════════════════════╗
    β•‘    EARNINGS ANALYSIS β€” {TICKER}  ({DATE})           β•‘
    β•šβ•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•β•

    πŸ“… NEXT EARNINGS Expected Date: {date} | Timing: {BMO/AMC} EPS Estimate: ${eps} | Revenue Estimate: ${rev}B

    πŸ“Š EARNINGS TRACK RECORD (Last {N} Quarters) EPS Beat Rate: {%} ({n}/{total}) Avg EPS Surprise: +{%} Rev Beat Rate: {%} ({n}/{total}) Consistency: {All beats / Mostly beats / Mixed}

    Quarter EPS Est Actual EPS Surp Rev Est Actual Rev Surp Q4 2024 $X.XX $X.XX +X.X% $XB $XB +X.X% Q3 2024 ...

    πŸ“ˆ ESTIMATE REVISION TREND Current FY EPS Estimate: ${est} ({+/-}% from 90 days ago) Revision Trend: {Positive / Stable / Negative Momentum} Implications: {one-line interpretation}

    πŸ“ IMPLIED EARNINGS MOVE (Options) ATM Straddle Price: ${price} β†’ Implied Move: Β±{%} Expected Range: ${low} β€” ${high} Historical Avg Move: Β±{%} Options Assessment: {Cheap/Rich/Fair relative to history}

    πŸ“° PRE-EARNINGS SIGNALS Recent News Sentiment: {Positive/Neutral/Negative} Key Headlines: β€’ {headline 1} β€’ {headline 2}

    ⚠️ KEY WATCH ITEMS FOR THIS EARNINGS 1. {metric/segment to watch} 2. {metric/segment to watch} 3. {guidance language to watch}

    🎯 EARNINGS SETUP SUMMARY Bull Case: {2 sentences} Bear Case: {2 sentences} Strategy: {Directional bet / Neutral straddle / Avoid β€” with reasoning}


    Limitations

  • Earnings dates can shift by 1–2 weeks; always verify directly with the company's IR page.
  • Implied move is based on options chain snapshot; liquidity affects pricing accuracy.
  • EPS surprise history may not account for non-GAAP vs. GAAP differences.
  • ⚑ When to Use

    TriggerAction
    "What major companies are reporting earnings this week?"
    ### Mode B β€” Per-Stock Earnings Deep Dive
    "Analyze NVDA's upcoming earnings β€” what should I expect?"
    ### Mode C β€” Pre-Earnings Trade Setup
    "Set up a pre-earnings analysis for AAPL with options context"
    ---

    βš™οΈ Configuration

    API Key required β€” Register at https://finskills.net to get your free key. Header: X-API-Key: > Get your API key: Register at https://finskills.net β€” free tier available, Pro plan unlocks real-time quotes, history, and financials.