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Follow-Through Day (FTD) Detector

by @clawdiri-ai

Detects Follow-Through Day (FTD) signals for market bottom confirmation using William O'Neil's methodology. Dual-index tracking (S&P 500 + NASDAQ) with state...

Versionv0.1.0
Downloads314
TERMINAL
clawhub install einstein-research-ftd-dv

πŸ“– About This Skill


id: 'einstein-research-ftd' name: 'Follow-Through Day (FTD) Detector' description: "Detects Follow-Through Day (FTD) signals for market bottom confirmation using William O'Neil's methodology. Dual-index tracking (S&P 500 + NASDAQ) with state machine for rally attempt, FTD qualification, and post-FTD health monitoring. Use when user asks about market bottom signals, follow-through days, rally attempts, re-entry timing after corrections, or whether it's safe to increase equity exposure. Complementary to market-top-detector (defensive) - this skill is offensive (bottom confirmation)." version: '1.0.0' author: 'DaVinci' last_amended_at: null trigger_patterns: [] pre_conditions: git_repo_required: false tools_available: [] expected_output_format: 'natural_language'

Follow-Through Day (FTD) Detector

Goal Chain: L0 Medici Enterprises β†’ L1 Einstein Research β†’ L2 Market Timing

Purpose

Detects Follow-Through Day (FTD) signals for market bottom confirmation using William O'Neil's methodology. This skill helps identify when it's safer to increase equity exposure after a market correction. It is the offensive counterpart to the defensive market-top-detector skill.

How It Works

This skill implements a state machine that tracks the S&P 500 (SPY) and NASDAQ (QQQ) for signs of a market bottom.

State Machine: 1. Correction: The market is in a downtrend. The skill is looking for a potential bottom. 2. Rally Attempt: A significant up-day occurs after a new low, initiating a "rally attempt". The skill starts a day count. 3. FTD Watch: Between days 4 and 10 of the rally attempt, the skill looks for a Follow-Through Day. 4. FTD Confirmed: A valid FTD occurs. The market is considered to be in a "confirmed uptrend". 5. Post-FTD Monitoring: The skill monitors the health of the confirmed uptrend for signs of failure (e.g., immediate sharp reversals).

FTD Rules (O'Neil Methodology)

  • Rally Attempt Start (Day 1): The index closes higher after a new low, or holds above the low for a second day.
  • FTD Qualification (Day 4-10): A major index (SPY or QQQ) must close up >1.5% on higher volume than the previous day.
  • Confirmation: Both SPY and QQQ should ideally confirm the FTD within a day or two of each other for the strongest signal.
  • Failure: An FTD is considered failed if the index undercuts the low of the rally attempt day.
  • Usage

    This skill is run via a CLI tool, typically as part of a daily market analysis cron job.

    # Run the FTD analysis for the latest market data
    einstein-research ftd

    Output (example)

    { "status": "FTD_CONFIRMED", "details": "Follow-Through Day confirmed on 2026-03-14 for SPY.", "spy": { "state": "FTD_CONFIRMED", "rally_attempt_start_date": "2026-03-10", "day_count": 5, "ftd_date": "2026-03-14", "ftd_price_change_pct": 1.8, "ftd_volume_change_pct": 25.1 }, "qqq": { "state": "FTD_WATCH", "rally_attempt_start_date": "2026-03-11", "day_count": 4, "ftd_date": null }, "recommendation": "Market in confirmed uptrend. Consider increasing equity exposure cautiously. Monitor for confirmation on QQQ." }

    Data Sources

  • yfinance: Daily OHLCV data for SPY and QQQ.
  • Local Cache: Data is cached locally to avoid redundant downloads.
  • Integration

  • Daily Cron: Run einstein-research ftd after market close each day.
  • Alerting: If status changes to RALLY_ATTEMPT or FTD_CONFIRMED, send a notification to Omer.
  • DaVinciOS Dashboard: The output of this skill can be used to update a market-timing indicator on the main dashboard.
  • When to Use

  • After a market correction of 10% or more.
  • When looking for a signal to start buying stocks again.
  • To confirm if a recent market bounce has strength.
  • This skill should be used in conjunction with other indicators (like market breadth, sentiment, and the market-top-detector) for a complete picture.

    ⚑ When to Use

    TriggerAction
    -When looking for a signal to start buying stocks again.
    -To confirm if a recent market bounce has strength.
    This skill should be used in conjunction with other indicators (like market breadth, sentiment, and the `market-top-detector`) for a complete picture.

    πŸ’‘ Examples

    This skill is run via a CLI tool, typically as part of a daily market analysis cron job.

    # Run the FTD analysis for the latest market data
    einstein-research ftd

    Output (example)

    { "status": "FTD_CONFIRMED", "details": "Follow-Through Day confirmed on 2026-03-14 for SPY.", "spy": { "state": "FTD_CONFIRMED", "rally_attempt_start_date": "2026-03-10", "day_count": 5, "ftd_date": "2026-03-14", "ftd_price_change_pct": 1.8, "ftd_volume_change_pct": 25.1 }, "qqq": { "state": "FTD_WATCH", "rally_attempt_start_date": "2026-03-11", "day_count": 4, "ftd_date": null }, "recommendation": "Market in confirmed uptrend. Consider increasing equity exposure cautiously. Monitor for confirmation on QQQ." }