Insurance Loss Reserving

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name: insurance-loss-reserving description: |- 用 chainladder-python 做精算损失准备金估算：从历史理赔三角到 IBNR 准备金、 尾部参数拟合。支持再保险 / 巨灾 / 一般责任险多产品线。 license: Proprietary. See LICENSE.txt in project root. compatibility: Designed for Doramagic-host ecosystem (Claude Code / openclaw / Cursor). Requires Python 3.12+ with uv package manager. metadata: version: "v6.1" blueprint_id: "finance-bp-063" compiled_at: "2026-04-22T13:00:20.366204+00:00" capability_markets: "global" capability_activities: "insurance-actuarial" sop_version: "crystal-compilation-v6.1"

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保险损失准备金 (insurance-loss-reserving)

> 用 chain ladder 方法从历史理赔三角估算 IBNR 准备金——再保险、巨灾、 一般责任险都能跑。

Pipeline

data_collection -> data_storage -> factor_computation -> target_selection -> trading_execution -> visualization

Top Use Cases (0 total)

Execute trigger: When user intent matches intent_router.uc_entries[].positive_terms AND user uses action verb (run/execute/跑/执行/backtest/fetch/collect)

What I'll Ask You

Target market: A-share (default), HK, or crypto? (US stocks in ZVT are half-baked — stockus_nasdaq_AAPL exists but coverage is thin)

Data source / provider: eastmoney (free, no account), joinquant (account+paid), baostock (free, good history), akshare, or qmt (broker)?

Strategy type: MACD golden-cross, MA crossover, volume breakout, fundamental screen, or custom factor?

Time range: start_timestamp and end_timestamp for backtest period

Target entity IDs: specific stocks (stock_sh_600000) or index components (SZ1000)?

Semantic Locks (Fatal)

| ID | Rule | On Violation | |---|---|---| | SL-01 | Execute sell orders before buy orders in every trading cycle | halt | | SL-02 | Trading signals MUST use next-bar execution (no look-ahead) | halt | | SL-03 | Entity IDs MUST follow format entity_type_exchange_code | halt | | SL-04 | DataFrame index MUST be MultiIndex (entity_id, timestamp) | halt | | SL-05 | TradingSignal MUST have EXACTLY ONE of: position_pct, order_money, order_amount | halt | | SL-06 | filter_result column semantics: True=BUY, False=SELL, None/NaN=NO ACTION | halt | | SL-07 | Transformer MUST run BEFORE Accumulator in factor pipeline | halt | | SL-08 | MACD parameters locked: fast=12, slow=26, signal=9 | halt |

Full lock definitions: references/LOCKS.md

Top Anti-Patterns (15 total)

AP-INSURANCE-001: Implicit numeric format assumptions without validation

AP-INSURANCE-002: Triangle axis construction with invalid temporal ordering

AP-INSURANCE-003: Cumulative/incremental triangle representation misuse

All 15 anti-patterns: references/ANTI_PATTERNS.md

Evidence Quality Notice

> [QUALITY NOTICE] This crystal was compiled from blueprint finance-bp-063. Evidence verify ratio = 56.5% and audit fail total = 15. Generated results may have uncaptured requirement gaps. Verify critical decisions against source files (LATEST.yaml / LATEST.jsonl).

Reference Files

| File | Contents | When to Load | |---|---|---| | references/seed.yaml | V6+ 全量权威 (source-of-truth) | 有行为/决策争议时必读 | | references/ANTI_PATTERNS.md | 15 条跨项目反模式 | 开始实现前 | | references/WISDOM.md | 跨项目精华借鉴 | 架构决策时 | | references/CONSTRAINTS.md | domain + fatal 约束 | 规则冲突时 | | references/USE_CASES.md | 全量 KUC-* 业务场景 | 需要完整示例时 | | references/LOCKS.md | SL-* + preconditions + hints | 生成回测/交易代码前 | | references/COMPONENTS.md | AST 组件地图（按 module 拆分）| 查 API 时 |

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*Compiled by Doramagic crystal-compilation-v6.1 from finance-bp-063 blueprint at 2026-04-22T13:00:20.366204+00:00.* *See human_summary.md for non-technical overview.*