🎁 Get the FREE AI Skills Starter Guide β€” Subscribe β†’
BytesAgainBytesAgain
BytesAgain β€Ί Skills β€Ί Polymarket Fast Loop
πŸ¦€ ClawHub

Polymarket Fast Loop

by @johnjerry8749

Trade Polymarket BTC 5-minute and 15-minute fast markets using CEX price momentum signals via Simmer API. Default signal is Binance BTC/USDT klines. Use when...

Versionv0.1.0
Downloads1,219
#crypto-defi#legal
TERMINAL
clawhub install polymarket-fast-loop-1-0-6

πŸ“– About This Skill

name: polymarket-fast-loop displayName: Polymarket FastLoop Trader description: Trade Polymarket BTC 5-minute and 15-minute fast markets using CEX price momentum signals via Simmer API. Default signal is Binance BTC/USDT klines. Use when user wants to trade sprint/fast markets, automate short-term crypto trading, or use CEX momentum as a Polymarket signal. metadata: {"clawdbot":{"emoji":"⚑","requires":{"env":["SIMMER_API_KEY"]},"cron":null,"autostart":false}} authors: - Simmer (@simmer_markets) version: "1.0.6" published: true

Polymarket FastLoop Trader

Trade Polymarket's 5-minute BTC fast markets using real-time price momentum from Binance.

> Polymarket only. All trades execute on Polymarket with real USDC. Use --live for real trades, dry-run is the default.

How it works: Every cycle, the script finds the current live BTC fast market, checks BTC price momentum on Binance, and trades if momentum diverges from market odds.

This is a template. The default signal (Binance momentum) gets you started. Your agent's reasoning is the edge β€” layer on sentiment analysis, multi-exchange spreads, news feeds, or custom signals to improve it.

> ⚠️ Fast markets carry Polymarket's 10% fee (is_paid: true). Factor this into your edge calculations.

When to Use This Skill

Use this skill when the user wants to:

  • Trade BTC sprint/fast markets (5-minute or 15-minute)
  • Automate short-term crypto prediction trading
  • Use CEX price momentum as a Polymarket signal
  • Monitor sprint market positions

    • Setup Flow

    When user asks to install or configure this skill:

    1. Ask for Simmer API key - Get from simmer.markets/dashboard β†’ SDK tab - Store in environment as SIMMER_API_KEY

    2. Ask about settings (or confirm defaults) - Asset: BTC, ETH, or SOL (default BTC) - Entry threshold: Min divergence to trade (default 5Β’) - Max position: Amount per trade (default $5.00) - Window: 5m or 15m (default 5m)

    3. Set up cron or loop (user drives scheduling β€” see "How to Run on a Loop")

    Quick Start

    # Set your API key
export SIMMER_API_KEY="your-key-here"
    Dry run β€” see what would happen
    
python fastloop_trader.py
    Go live
    
python fastloop_trader.py --live
    Live + quiet (for cron/heartbeat loops)
    
python fastloop_trader.py --live --quiet
    Live + smart sizing (5% of balance per trade)
    
python fastloop_trader.py --live --smart-sizing --quiet

    How to Run on a Loop

    The script runs one cycle β€” your bot drives the loop. Set up a cron job or heartbeat:

    Every 5 minutes (one per fast market window): 

    */5 * * * * cd /path/to/skill && python fastloop_trader.py --live --quiet

    Every 1 minute (more aggressive, catches mid-window opportunities): 

    * * * * * cd /path/to/skill && python fastloop_trader.py --live --quiet

    Via OpenClaw heartbeat: Add to your HEARTBEAT.md: 

    Run: cd /path/to/fast market && python fastloop_trader.py --live --quiet

    Configuration

    Configure via config.json, environment variables, or --set:

    # Change entry threshold
python fastloop_trader.py --set entry_threshold=0.08
    Trade ETH instead of BTC
    
python fastloop_trader.py --set asset=ETH
    Multiple settings
    
python fastloop_trader.py --set min_momentum_pct=0.3 --set max_position=10

    Settings

    | Setting | Default | Env Var | Description | |---------|---------|---------|-------------| | entry_threshold | 0.05 | SIMMER_SPRINT_ENTRY | Min price divergence from 50Β’ to trigger | | min_momentum_pct | 0.5 | SIMMER_SPRINT_MOMENTUM | Min BTC % move to trigger | | max_position | 5.0 | SIMMER_SPRINT_MAX_POSITION | Max $ per trade | | signal_source | binance | SIMMER_SPRINT_SIGNAL | Price feed (binance, coingecko) | | lookback_minutes | 5 | SIMMER_SPRINT_LOOKBACK | Minutes of price history | | min_time_remaining | 60 | SIMMER_SPRINT_MIN_TIME | Skip fast markets with less time left (seconds) | | asset | BTC | SIMMER_SPRINT_ASSET | Asset to trade (BTC, ETH, SOL) | | window | 5m | SIMMER_SPRINT_WINDOW | Market window duration (5m or 15m) | | volume_confidence | true | SIMMER_SPRINT_VOL_CONF | Weight signal by Binance volume |

    Example config.json

    {
  "entry_threshold": 0.08,
  "min_momentum_pct": 0.3,
  "max_position": 10.0,
  "asset": "BTC",
  "window": "5m",
  "signal_source": "binance"
}

    CLI Options

    python fastloop_trader.py                    # Dry run
python fastloop_trader.py --live             # Real trades
python fastloop_trader.py --live --quiet     # Silent except trades/errors
python fastloop_trader.py --smart-sizing     # Portfolio-based sizing
python fastloop_trader.py --positions        # Show open fast market positions
python fastloop_trader.py --config           # Show current config
python fastloop_trader.py --set KEY=VALUE    # Update config

    Signal Logic

    Default signal (Binance momentum):

    1. Fetch last 5 one-minute candles from Binance (BTCUSDT) 2. Calculate momentum: (price_now - price_5min_ago) / price_5min_ago 3. Compare momentum direction to current Polymarket odds 4. Trade when: - Momentum β‰₯ min_momentum_pct (default 0.5%) - Price diverges from 50Β’ by β‰₯ entry_threshold (default 5Β’) - Volume ratio > 0.5x average (filters out thin moves)

    Example: BTC up 0.8% in last 5 min, but fast market YES price is only $0.52. The 3Β’ divergence from the expected ~$0.55 β†’ buy YES.

    Customizing Your Signal

    The default momentum signal is a starting point. To add your own edge:

  • Multi-exchange: Compare prices across Binance, Kraken, Bitfinex β€” divergence between exchanges can predict CLOB direction
  • Sentiment: Layer in Twitter/social signals β€” a viral tweet can move fast markets
  • Technical indicators: RSI, VWAP, order flow analysis
  • News: Breaking news correlation β€” use your agent's reasoning to interpret headlines

    • The skill handles all the Simmer plumbing (discovery, import, trade execution). Your agent provides the alpha.

    Example Output

    ⚑ Simmer FastLoop Trading Skill
==================================================
      [DRY RUN] No trades will be executed. Use --live to enable trading.
    βš™οΈ  Configuration:
  Asset:            BTC
  Entry threshold:  0.05 (min divergence from 50Β’)
  Min momentum:     0.5% (min price move)
  Max position:     $5.00
  Signal source:    binance
  Lookback:         5 minutes
  Min time left:    60s
  Volume weighting: βœ“
    πŸ” Discovering BTC fast markets...
  Found 3 active fast markets
    🎯 Selected: Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
  Expires in: 185s
  Current YES price: $0.480
    πŸ“ˆ Fetching BTC price signal (binance)...
  Price: $97,234.50 (was $96,812.30)
  Momentum: +0.436%
  Direction: up
  Volume ratio: 1.45x avg
    🧠 Analyzing...
  ⏸️  Momentum 0.436% < minimum 0.500% β€” skip
    πŸ“Š Summary: No trade (momentum too weak: 0.436%)

    Source Tagging

    All trades are tagged with source: "sdk:fastloop". This means:

  • Portfolio shows breakdown by strategy
  • Other skills won't interfere with your fast market positions
  • You can track fast market P&L separately

    • Troubleshooting

    "No active fast markets found"

  • Fast markets may not be running (off-hours, weekends)
  • Check Polymarket directly for active BTC fast markets

    • "No fast markets with >60s remaining"

  • Current window is about to expire, next one isn't live yet
  • Reduce min_time_remaining if you want to trade closer to expiry

    • "Import failed: Rate limit exceeded"

  • Free tier: 10 imports/day. Pro: 50/day
  • Fast market trading needs Pro for reasonable frequency

    • "Failed to fetch price data"

  • Binance API may be down or rate limited
  • Try --set signal_source=coingecko as fallback

    • "Trade failed: no liquidity"

  • Fast market has thin book, try smaller position size

    • πŸ’‘ Examples

    # Set your API key
export SIMMER_API_KEY="your-key-here"
    Dry run β€” see what would happen
    
python fastloop_trader.py
    Go live
    
python fastloop_trader.py --live
    Live + quiet (for cron/heartbeat loops)
    
python fastloop_trader.py --live --quiet
    Live + smart sizing (5% of balance per trade)
    
python fastloop_trader.py --live --smart-sizing --quiet

    βš™οΈ Configuration

    Configure via config.json, environment variables, or --set:

    # Change entry threshold
python fastloop_trader.py --set entry_threshold=0.08
    Trade ETH instead of BTC
    
python fastloop_trader.py --set asset=ETH
    Multiple settings
    
python fastloop_trader.py --set min_momentum_pct=0.3 --set max_position=10

    Settings

    | Setting | Default | Env Var | Description | |---------|---------|---------|-------------| | entry_threshold | 0.05 | SIMMER_SPRINT_ENTRY | Min price divergence from 50Β’ to trigger | | min_momentum_pct | 0.5 | SIMMER_SPRINT_MOMENTUM | Min BTC % move to trigger | | max_position | 5.0 | SIMMER_SPRINT_MAX_POSITION | Max $ per trade | | signal_source | binance | SIMMER_SPRINT_SIGNAL | Price feed (binance, coingecko) | | lookback_minutes | 5 | SIMMER_SPRINT_LOOKBACK | Minutes of price history | | min_time_remaining | 60 | SIMMER_SPRINT_MIN_TIME | Skip fast markets with less time left (seconds) | | asset | BTC | SIMMER_SPRINT_ASSET | Asset to trade (BTC, ETH, SOL) | | window | 5m | SIMMER_SPRINT_WINDOW | Market window duration (5m or 15m) | | volume_confidence | true | SIMMER_SPRINT_VOL_CONF | Weight signal by Binance volume |

    Example config.json

    {
  "entry_threshold": 0.08,
  "min_momentum_pct": 0.3,
  "max_position": 10.0,
  "asset": "BTC",
  "window": "5m",
  "signal_source": "binance"
}

    πŸ“‹ Tips & Best Practices

    "No active fast markets found"

  • Fast markets may not be running (off-hours, weekends)
  • Check Polymarket directly for active BTC fast markets

    • "No fast markets with >60s remaining"

  • Current window is about to expire, next one isn't live yet
  • Reduce min_time_remaining if you want to trade closer to expiry

    • "Import failed: Rate limit exceeded"

  • Free tier: 10 imports/day. Pro: 50/day
  • Fast market trading needs Pro for reasonable frequency

    • "Failed to fetch price data"

  • Binance API may be down or rate limited
  • Try --set signal_source=coingecko as fallback

    • "Trade failed: no liquidity"

  • Fast market has thin book, try smaller position size