Silke Manifold

---

name: manifold description: "Search, analyze, and trade on Manifold Markets prediction markets. Use when the user wants to look up prediction market odds, place bets, check their portfolio, or discuss Manifold markets." metadata: { "openclaw": { "emoji": "📈", "requires": { "bins": ["python3"], "env": ["MANIFOLD_API_KEY"] }, "primaryEnv": "MANIFOLD_API_KEY", }, }

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Manifold Markets

Trade on prediction markets via the Manifold API. All commands output JSON.

Script path: {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py

Run with: python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py [options]

Check Balance

python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py balance

Search Markets

# Search by keyword
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py search "US election"
Open binary markets, sorted by popularity
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py search "AI" --filter open --sort most-popular --limit 5
Closing soon
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py search "" --filter closing-week --sort close-date

Filters: all, open, closed, resolved, closing-day, closing-week, closing-month

Sorts: most-popular, newest, score, daily-score, 24-hour-vol, liquidity, close-date, prob-descending, prob-ascending

Get Market Details & Probability

# By ID
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py market 
By slug (from URL)
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py market some-market-slug
Just the probability
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py prob 

Place Bets

# Market order: bet 100 mana on YES
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py bet  100 YES
Limit order at 40% probability
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py bet  100 YES --limit-prob 0.40
Dry run (simulate without executing)
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py bet  100 YES --dry-run
Bet on a specific answer in a multiple-choice market
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py bet  50 YES --answer-id 
Limit order that expires in 1 hour
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py bet  100 YES --limit-prob 0.35 --expires-ms 3600000

Sell Shares

# Sell all shares in a market
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py sell 
Sell specific outcome
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py sell  --outcome YES
Sell partial shares
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py sell  --outcome NO --shares 50
Sell in multiple-choice market
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py sell  --answer-id 

Cancel Limit Order

python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py cancel 

Portfolio & Positions

# Your portfolio summary
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py portfolio
Your current positions with contract details
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py my-positions --limit 10 --order profit
Positions/leaderboard for a specific market
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py positions  --top 10
Your position in a specific market
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py positions  --user-id 

Bet History

# Your recent bets
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py bets --username 
Bets on a specific market
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py bets --contract-id 
Open limit orders only
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py bets --username  --kinds open-limit

Your Profile

python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py me

Notes

All monetary amounts are in mana (M$). New accounts start with M$1,000.

Limit orders use probabilities from 0.01 to 0.99 (two decimal places).

Always use --dry-run first when the user asks to place a bet, so they can confirm the expected outcome before committing real mana.

The search results include id fields — use these as contract-id for betting/selling.

For multiple-choice markets, fetch market details first to see available answers and their IDs.

API rate limit: 500 requests/minute.

All monetary amounts are in mana (M$). New accounts start with M$1,000.

Limit orders use probabilities from 0.01 to 0.99 (two decimal places).

Always use --dry-run first when the user asks to place a bet, so they can confirm the expected outcome before committing real mana.

The search results include id fields — use these as contract-id for betting/selling.

For multiple-choice markets, fetch market details first to see available answers and their IDs.

API rate limit: 500 requests/minute.